California cannabis entrepreneurs will earn $5.2B in revenue in 2018 as recreational use becomes legal there. The state of California will collect about one billion dollars in accompanying marijuana taxes. These numbers, estimated by Matt Karnes, industry analyst and managing partner of New York’s GreenWave Advisors, point to the giant need for banking and financial services in the nascent legal cannabis industry. These services however are generally not available says Karnes, and are federally illegal. Some glimmers of change though, are on the horizon.
Other technology start-ups like Shield Compliance in Illinois are also aiming to offer software to help banks with compliance, financial transparency and record-keeping to reduce the risk of working in the industry.
The tiny number of banks working with the legal marijuana industry leaves many of those businesses with no choice but to operate in cash. That means they need to spend extra money on safes, video camera systems, security guards, and armored car pick-ups. Public safety issues can also arise when so much cash is stored in known locations said Karnes.
With limited options, some businesses turn to other methods to find banking. Many hide the nature of their business from their banks according to Karnes. Others turn to cryptocurrencies, which have their own sets of problems. Cryptocurrencies have a “questionable ability to pass regulatory scrutiny,” because they are so complex, said Karnes. Their lack of transparency also “remains a major stumbling block.” They also tend to fluctuate in value, so are much less stable than regular currency.
Despite the complexities, the industry in California is hiring. Vangst, a recruitment firm specializing in the cannabis space, says the number of people working full time in legal cannabis grew from 43,374 people in January to 47,711 in September. And although the few banks serving the industry are generally keeping a low profile and not announcing their foray into the new customer base, businesses that “need to know,” are seeking them out. “Word of a financial institution serving the industry spreads pretty quickly,” said Beurlein.
While Attorney General Jeff Sessions regularly sends chills through the industry with his anti-marijuana pronouncements, Donald Trump’s desire to roll back banking regulations includes defanging The Sarbanes Oxley Act which was created to, among other things, reduce accounting fraud by asking company executives to certify their financial reports are accurate. This kind of deregulation could indirectly make cannabis banking easier. If the compliance burden associated with Sarbanes-Oxley is reduced said Karnes, banks and credit unions might have more time for their staff to focus on cannabis.
This article originally appeared on Forbes.com.